What impact will the CLICO bailout have?
Shari DaCosta
Wednesday, February 04, 2009
Shari DaCosta
Bailout - it is a word that has been showing up in news reports ever since companies deemed to be "too big to fail" threaten to do just that. If this holds true, that is, if an institution can be considered too big to fail, then CL Financial Ltd would undoubtedly fit such a description.
Late Friday, when the news broke that Clico Investment Bank (CIB) was taken over by the Central Bank of Trinidad & Tobago, investors and analysts alike were scurrying to figure out what the impact would be. The Central Bank took this decision as part of an endeavour aimed at saving several CL Financial subsidiaries that were facing liquidity issues. All third-party assets and liabilities on CLICO's books, as well as those on the books of its Caribbean Money Market Brokers (CMMB) entity, which it recently acquired from Jamaica Money Market Brokers Ltd (JMMB), would be reassigned to First Citizens Bank, a government-owned institution. The Governor of the Central Bank of Trinidad and Tobago, Ewart Williams said that the Trinidadian government would finance the cash-strapped institution in exchange for collateral and an equity-stake in CLICO. He added that the role of the central bank in this operation will be to act as a vehicle through which the company can execute a shift from its current business model and corporate governance structure.
The overarching question that stands out is, what effect will this government bailout have, not only on CL Financial and its subsidiaries, but on the Trinidadian and regional economy as a whole? First of all, it will certainly not be cheap to dig CLICO out of this hole. It has been reported that the government will have to pay a hefty TT$8-billion price-tag in order to keep CLICO afloat, which is probably the last thing that the Government of Trinidad and Tobago needed to hear right now. The Government has already been faced with the task of repeatedly writing down the country's budget, as the energy-rich nation did not factor in the dramatic declines in energy prices that were to come about following the global economic downturn.
This bailout will have an effect on the country's total level of debt as is likely that the Government will have to issue additional debt instruments in its efforts to recapitalise the banks. This could potentially reverse the country's improvement to its assets exceeding debt by 4.5 per cent of GDP in 2008 from a net debt position of 20 per cent in 2003.
And the question still remains about whether or not the buck will stop here since CL Financial's businesses are so intertwined. That is, although it is clear that the conglomerate is facing a capital issue, it is difficult to pinpoint the level of funding necessary to "cure" its liquidity ailment.
CLICO's problems have already spread to Republic Bank Ltd (TTSE: RBL), Trinidad's largest bank. The bank, in which CL Financial holds a 55 per cent interest, was bombarded with lines of customers demanding huge amounts of withdrawals and closing accounts. As a result, RBL was forced to place a cap of TT$30,000 on cash withdrawals on Monday.
Another factor that cannot be ignored is the effect that a government takeover would continue to have on investor confidence. The news came out of left field, and the fact that CLICO's operations are so inter-linked didn't help matters much, as people didn't know where to look first for potential vulnerabilities. It is clear that the effects of the CLICO situation will not be confined to the Trinidadian borders as CLICO has an interest in 32 companies in the region (including Jamaica) and worldwide. CLICO and its affiliated companies own over 73 million of Lascelles, deMercado & Co's 96 million outstanding shares - a whopping 77 per cent stake - as well as a 40 per cent interest in JMMB, not inclusive of the Caribbean Money Market Brokers unit which it recently sold to CL Financial.
This being said, it will be difficult to foresee the magnitude of the effects that this dilemma will ultimately have on Trinidad's economy, or for that matter, on the regional economy.
However, it is a testament to the fact that no company will be completely immune from the global credit crunch, especially with the globalisation of our businesses, and indeed, our economies as a whole.
Shari DaCosta
Wednesday, February 04, 2009
Shari DaCosta
Bailout - it is a word that has been showing up in news reports ever since companies deemed to be "too big to fail" threaten to do just that. If this holds true, that is, if an institution can be considered too big to fail, then CL Financial Ltd would undoubtedly fit such a description.
Late Friday, when the news broke that Clico Investment Bank (CIB) was taken over by the Central Bank of Trinidad & Tobago, investors and analysts alike were scurrying to figure out what the impact would be. The Central Bank took this decision as part of an endeavour aimed at saving several CL Financial subsidiaries that were facing liquidity issues. All third-party assets and liabilities on CLICO's books, as well as those on the books of its Caribbean Money Market Brokers (CMMB) entity, which it recently acquired from Jamaica Money Market Brokers Ltd (JMMB), would be reassigned to First Citizens Bank, a government-owned institution. The Governor of the Central Bank of Trinidad and Tobago, Ewart Williams said that the Trinidadian government would finance the cash-strapped institution in exchange for collateral and an equity-stake in CLICO. He added that the role of the central bank in this operation will be to act as a vehicle through which the company can execute a shift from its current business model and corporate governance structure.
The overarching question that stands out is, what effect will this government bailout have, not only on CL Financial and its subsidiaries, but on the Trinidadian and regional economy as a whole? First of all, it will certainly not be cheap to dig CLICO out of this hole. It has been reported that the government will have to pay a hefty TT$8-billion price-tag in order to keep CLICO afloat, which is probably the last thing that the Government of Trinidad and Tobago needed to hear right now. The Government has already been faced with the task of repeatedly writing down the country's budget, as the energy-rich nation did not factor in the dramatic declines in energy prices that were to come about following the global economic downturn.
This bailout will have an effect on the country's total level of debt as is likely that the Government will have to issue additional debt instruments in its efforts to recapitalise the banks. This could potentially reverse the country's improvement to its assets exceeding debt by 4.5 per cent of GDP in 2008 from a net debt position of 20 per cent in 2003.
And the question still remains about whether or not the buck will stop here since CL Financial's businesses are so intertwined. That is, although it is clear that the conglomerate is facing a capital issue, it is difficult to pinpoint the level of funding necessary to "cure" its liquidity ailment.
CLICO's problems have already spread to Republic Bank Ltd (TTSE: RBL), Trinidad's largest bank. The bank, in which CL Financial holds a 55 per cent interest, was bombarded with lines of customers demanding huge amounts of withdrawals and closing accounts. As a result, RBL was forced to place a cap of TT$30,000 on cash withdrawals on Monday.
Another factor that cannot be ignored is the effect that a government takeover would continue to have on investor confidence. The news came out of left field, and the fact that CLICO's operations are so inter-linked didn't help matters much, as people didn't know where to look first for potential vulnerabilities. It is clear that the effects of the CLICO situation will not be confined to the Trinidadian borders as CLICO has an interest in 32 companies in the region (including Jamaica) and worldwide. CLICO and its affiliated companies own over 73 million of Lascelles, deMercado & Co's 96 million outstanding shares - a whopping 77 per cent stake - as well as a 40 per cent interest in JMMB, not inclusive of the Caribbean Money Market Brokers unit which it recently sold to CL Financial.
This being said, it will be difficult to foresee the magnitude of the effects that this dilemma will ultimately have on Trinidad's economy, or for that matter, on the regional economy.
However, it is a testament to the fact that no company will be completely immune from the global credit crunch, especially with the globalisation of our businesses, and indeed, our economies as a whole.
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