Exactly what was considered the JDX part 1, so to speak, year from several years ago? Please an tanx.
it was an exercise to reschedule a portion of the dometic debt. they unilterally replaced a bunch of 17-19% bonds which were schedule to mature over the next couple years with some longer term 9% (i think) binds schedule to matured in the 5-8 year range. That was January - march 2010.
When its hot in the jungle of peace I go swimming in the ocean of love.....
I watched the speech – twice – last night – just to make sure I got it all.
I'm not an economist so, some bits weren't clear to me but what I did follow, left me disheartened.
If I understand what was said;
They're going to have an oversight committee to make sure that the plan is properly handled this time * that seems rudimentary, a given and ridiculous to me
They said we have some huge gets coming due to tourism * seems we've been doing the tourism game for decades now and it's making little difference to the man on the street or in substantial contributions to the kitty
Highway work will give some huge gets in about 5 years * ok – let's wait and see – but what do we do for those 5 years in the mean time
Pensioners * yuh salt
Public Sector workers * yuh gwain salt
Banks, Bond holders, etc * yuh done know seh yuh salt
Taxes * we need to pay our taxes – is this a news flash? – and what's the plan to get everyone to pay their taxes
Production * we need to produce our food, etc * is this a news flash? – and what's more, what's the plan to do so
Etc, etc …
If we get all this done then the IMF will help us shift, hide, gi wi a bligh, on 17 billion dollars.
But what are people going to be doing in the mean time – what about jobs, the rest of the economy?
it was an exercise to reschedule a portion of the dometic debt. they unilterally replaced a bunch of 17-19% bonds which were schedule to mature over the next couple years with some longer term 9% (i think) binds schedule to matured in the 5-8 year range. That was January - march 2010.
Thanks Rich - just wanted to make sure I was fully understanding the gist of the speech. This is NOT good.
I fear, we all gwine feel it.
it was a long time coming.
it might have an upside. a lot of the money that was sitting in Gov paper might now have to find other things to do and we might actually see investment in manufacturing.
When its hot in the jungle of peace I go swimming in the ocean of love.....
Government says it can’t get IMF deal without 100% take-up BY CAMILO THAME Business Co-ordinator [email protected] Wednesday, February 13, 2013
THE Government is asking holders of public debt to take up to a five percentage point reduction on interest rates.
It is also asking them to accept a deferral on the repayment of their principal for at least another three years.
Finance Minister Peter Phillips and Prime Minister Portia Simpson Miller.
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What's more, the finance ministry is saying that it won't be able to secure a deal with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) without full participation.
"Without reaching this target we will not meet cost-saving targets required by the IMF," it said in a Q&A pamphlet. "We expect virtually all holders to accept the transaction, based upon the community interest in achieving the shared benefits. We will actively address non-participation if there is any."
The sequel to the Jamaica Debt Exchange (JDX) of 2010 — called the National Debt Exchange (NDX) — aims to lower the annual finance costs by $17 billion by shaving an average of two percentage points off interest rates on $860 billion of government's domestic debt.
Importantly, if the programme is successful, the Government won't have to fork out some $90 billion in cash, including US$290 million in debt, which becomes due for repayment in nine days.
The NDX, which opens today and runs until next Thursday, is seeking to swap 27 of the 30 JDX benchmark notes for new NDX notes, leaving $38 billion of debt untouched, apparently because they already carry coupon rates of seven to 8.5 per cent.
The reduction in interest rates on fixed rate notes start at five percentage points for bonds due within the next 12 months, or about $113 billion of the debt, while the rate cut declines to one percentage point for longer maturities.
But smaller interest rate cuts require longer tenors. For instance, the offer requires that $38 billion in notes, which become due next year, take a 4.5 percentage point cut in rate, while adding three more years to its maturity date.
On the other hand, $45 billion in bonds that mature in 2019 would only take a 1.75 percentage point cut in the rate (from 12.75 per cent to 11 per cent), but would be swapped for a note that matures in 2024.
Variable rate notes, US dollar denominated bonds and special consumer price index bonds, which combined were valued at $546 billion at the beginning of 2013, will see interest rates shaved by 0.75 - 2.0 percentage.
While the Government needs full participation in the programme, it is offering a special retail note to holders of $25 million or less in government paper, or US$200,000 or less of US dollar notes, which becomes due for repayment by 2014.
They may opt ot take a new fixed rate note that matures in 2014, but the notes carry interest rates that are 0.25 - 0.5 percentage points lower than the new notes, which will expire in 2016.
For financial sector firms that might face problems after taking a significant drop in net interest income, Bank of Jamaica Governor Brian Wynter said that the Financial System Support Fund (FSSF) will be revived in order to ensure sector stability.
"Our technical team has reviewed the debt exchange offer in detail and has run various stress tests that assure us that the temporary impact on financial institutions' profitability and capital adequacy will be manageable," said Wynter.
The FSSF, which was established with US$650 million funding in 2010 after the JDX, will be administered by the Financial Regulatory Council, and the form of support that will be provided will be repo-based funding.
Even though the NDX claims to avoid any haircuts to principal amounts owed, a special mechanism, called a fixed rate accreting note (FRAN), aims to lower the amount owed to certain state-owned agencies by 20 per cent.
The FRANs, which carry interest rates of 10 per cent and which mature in 2028, would gradually see the principal amount climb back to 100 per cent — starting in 2015 — but they would immediately lower the Government's debt by billions of dollars.
It is not clear how much of the debt can be converted to FRANs, but public sector bodies, including theNational Insurance Fund, owned 19 per cent of the domestic debt.
The Bank of Jamaica (BOJ), which by itself holds 10 per cent of local government debt, said that it will be "participating in the exchange with 100 per cent of its holdings".
Apart from lowering interest payments and the nominal debt amount owed (at least in the first instance), the NDX would also dramatically ease domestic borrowing requirements for at least a year.
Instead of having to pay back $407 billion by 2016, the Government will only be required to fork out $102 billion over that period.
jamaica's economic model is unsustainable and they know it and the IMF knows it....
if amerikkka & much of europe is falling apart what makes them think jamaica is so special...
it's a waiting game to see when the chytt will hit the fan...
the current global economic policy is crashing all around us...all this talk is simply the moneyed interests looking for a way to safeguard their investments at the expense of the common people...don't expect them to tell the truth...
They said we have some huge gets coming due to tourism * seems we've been doing the tourism game for decades now and it's making little difference to the man on the street or in substantial contributions to the kitty
I am curious why is Tourism such a lighting rod for some folks on this Board?
The statement you made above could be made about any profit making venture in Jamaica, since our economy is still in bad shape and is getting worse.
Remittances which is greater than tourism is not making a difference, ditto for bauxite, same for manufacturing and Agriculture.
Tourism is only one aspect of Jamaica's Economy, yet is very vital because value added is tremendous even though it might not reach the pockets of the majority of the man in the streets.
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